The Illustrated 2011 Hurricane Forecast | Mother Jones
It's here. The start of the 2011 hurricane season. And so is the seasonal hurricane forecast of Phil Klotzbach and Bill Gray at Colorado State University. Their summary:
We continue to foresee well above-average activity for the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season. We are predicting the same levels of activity that were forecast in early April due to the combination of expected neutral ENSO conditions and very favorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions in the tropical Atlantic. We continue to anticipate an above-average probability of United States and Caribbean major hurricane landfall.
Specifically, for 2011, they're forecasting the likelihood of:
16 named storms
9 hurricanes
5 intense hurricanes
[...]
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Crossposted from Deep Blue Home.
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